H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Bush ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened modestly because Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was at first anticipated to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm may drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and very effective cyclone that triggered huge damage and significant loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood defense system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, as well as large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have actually now been provided for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means typhoon conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy need to spread out across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were taking place over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a typhoon that might bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated hurricane warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to cyclone expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon experts formerly alerted hurricanes might form in uncommon areas later in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major hazards and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy